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76StetsonA-Sun2FL6-1957NR Whether he adjusts to more cautious and competent pitching as he moves through the minors, we just wont know until it happens, but the more granular statistical indicators here (what Bleis underlying contact and chase rates are relative to his strikeout and walk performance) suggest hes going to improve in these areas. The plate discipline piece is well below average but everything else is above. He had a successful foray into full-season ball, slashing .273/.360/.451 with 15 homers and 14 steals while with Low-A Myrtle Beach. Previous ranking: No. Jung had a rough 2022 that were chalking up to injury-related rust rather than severe skill regression. A complete prospect and a total baseball rat, Lawlar had been a touted amateur as an underclassman and held serve as a near top-of-the-class talent for two or three years, even amid the volatility of the 2020 draft process. Martinez made that less likely. RHP AJ Hutcheson The true freshman was lights-out from the bullpen this past week, appearing two times and striking out seven without allowing a hit. Now fully healthy again, Elko should be one of the best run producers in the country in 2022. Stones plus (at least) on-mound athleticism and gorgeous arm action allow for continued projection on his fastball utility and command even though hes in his mid-20s, which gives him bigger long-term ceiling than that. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. Georgia; 34. Hassell was playing like his usual sweet-swinging self until he was traded to Washington as part of the Juan Soto blockbuster; after the deal, his performance took a nosedive. His wispy, 6-foot-3 frame has room for another 30 pounds at least, and with that weight and strength could come huge raw thunder. Long, lanky and loaded with tools and projection, Alcantara is a loose, 6-foot-6 outfielder with massive potential. UCLA now returns home for the Southern California College Baseball Classic, which concludes with a rivalry game against USC. Now in the bullpen, Halls deep repertoire should make him a premium late-inning reliever. His numbers backed up in 2022, but thats typical of pitchers who go to work in Reno. Certainly from a velocity and spin (about 200 rpm) standpoint they had, though each is still capable of missing bats. His swing is designed for power; it has a bit of a loop and a steep plane to it, enabling him to crush mistakes to left and center field. A lumbering, heavy-bodied athlete, Casas injury track record is also a bit of a concern. Righthander Grayson Rodriguez ranks No. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. Carter looks like a high-OBP, table-setting center fielder in the Brandon Nimmo mold. document.addEventListener("DOMContentLoaded", function () { Because the White Sox had so many good prospects in Birmingham toward the end of the season, it was extremely efficient to source scouts and conduct film study from that time period. Painter has a prototypical pitchers frame and then some, standing in at a broad-shouldered 6-foot-7 (which Painter has sculpted since his days as a high school prospect), a stature youd more often associate with NBA wing players than pro pitchers. The SEC leads all conferences with nine teams in the rankings, while the ACC is right behind them with eight teams ranked. Even though both Davis and Rodriguez are near-ready catching prospects, they arent redundant, and in fact they complement each other well. 4 Last Week: 3-1 Overall: 6-1, 0-0 in ACC (0-0 vs. Top 25) Weekend Record: 2-0 Results Feb. 22: Xavier: W 12-8 Feb. 24-26: Bowling Green State: W 2-1, L 9-6, W 14-1 Upcoming Feb. 28: Eastern Kentucky Shriners Hospitals For Children College Classic (Houston) March: 3: vs. (12) Texas A&M March 4: vs. (11) Texas Christian March 5: vs. Michigan Louisville was tested this week, needing to score late in their first two wins against Xavier and Bowling Green. That bat speed, in conjunction with his short levers, allows him to track pitches well, resulting in impressive swing decisions for such a young player. Synergy Sports has film of Collier seeing about 1,300 pitches since 2020, a gigantic sample for a teenage prospect. He has quick actions and his lateral agility is better than his long speed on the bases. Previous ranking: No. Even while being a relatively free-swinger, hes only struck out at a 15-17% clip since entering full-season ball and has a rare hit/power combination for a catcher, though he has been a little bit older for each level. Arroyo is a hard-swinging shortstop who is off to a much more powerful offensive start than was anticipated when he signed out of high school. Eders delivery has changed since college. His changeup isnt consistent enough for it to play a major role in his arsenal quite yet, but he trusts his slider enough to use it in place of the changeup, even against righties. 8 TCU. Ronny Mo is on the very edge of the threshold of viability in this respect. This sort of thing runs through McGarrys whole operation, but he already has rare repertoire depth and quality for a reliever, and he might throw harder working just one or two innings at a time. LSU had a successful weekend at the Karbach Round Rock Classic and remains the No. His swing is a spectacle, lots of fun when hes on time and frustrating when hes late, utilizing a narrow, open stance and a huge leg kick. Jobe was the consensus top high school arm in the 2021 draft and earned a bonus of nearly $7 million as the third overall pick. Over the last two weeks, we have counted down the top 100 programs in college baseball, as they stand in 2022. Ideally, hell have a four- and two-seam variant at peak and be able to work both north/south and east/west with his fastball, but as of 2022, his fastball command was still quite crude. Instead of a short stride toward the mound, his step is toward the plate, maintaining the width as he closes his stance, with quick lower-body rotation as he muscles the barrel through the zone. Because he participated in Team USA and showcase events from a very young age, Collier generated an inordinate amount of amateur data. He slashed .274/.381/.429 at mostly Low- and High-A in 2022 before wrapping up at Birmingham. Manzardo hasnt hit a single speed bump in pro ball and moved into the Top 100 during the middle of 2022 on the strength of his statistical performance and visual feel to hit. Ramirez has to cut some mechanical corners to swing as hard as he does right now, and that leads to swing-and-miss risk that adds to whats already present because of his propensity to chase, but that might be ironed out as he gets stronger and can take a more traditional swing. The play clock was ticking down and Riley leaned over to the official and signaled for a timeout with a second left on the play clock. While he was already throwing quite hard, Ortiz came into even more velocity in 2022 and averaged 97 mph on his fastball, up two ticks from 2021. 86Sacramento StateWAC2CA10-284NRNR College Baseball Rankings: 2023 D1Baseball Top Five. This cemented confidence in his feel to hit and also generated pre-draft conversations about whether there was a path for Jung to get to more power in games by pulling the ball more often, and whether that would hurt his ability to make contact. It appears the latter is true. A downward cutting swing and middling rotational athleticism limit Carters offensive impact to the doubles variety, and even though hes young and has a huge, rectangular frame, Carters lack of explosiveness tempers long-term raw power projection here, and we consider him more of a high-floor prospect than a future star. Yorkes 2021 pro debut was a rousing success, as he hit .325/.412/.516 across two A-ball levels as a teenager. Tradition is nice, but its more important to establish a tradition of consistent winning in the last decade, and especially in the last five years. Bleis signed for $1.5 million out of the Dominican Republic in January of 2021, and after a solid showing in the DSL that year, he created huge buzz on the complex in Fort Myers throughout 2022 because of his bat speed and power. Cincinnatis present roster situation funnels him to third base, but Jonathan Indias injury history, Joey Vottos age and handedness, and the Reds willingness to play Kyle Farmer at shortstop in the past likely mean that Steer will see time all over the infield throughout the next few years, and this flexibility along with his hitting skill should make him nearly an everyday, every-inning player despite some of his defensive blemishes. In 2022, he established himself as one of the premiere pitching prospects in the Cardinals system, issuing 81 strikeouts and just 15 walks over his 52.1 innings at Low-A, where he spent the entire season. OHoppes feel for contact makes him a likely everyday catcher. A spindly, undersized athlete with a plus slider and mid-90s fastball, Jameson is on the starter/reliever line as Arizonas big league staff becomes more crowded with viable major leaguers. Ortiz had one of the fastest ascents up the minor league ladder in 2022 and now projects as a mid-rotation starter or elite reliever in Pittsburgh, depending on what he can develop beyond his lethal fastball/slider combo. Its no surprise, then, that his introduction to pro ball came with a reduced workload, which Graceffo combined with a clear commitment to hitting the gym, resulting in an immediate velocity increase across his repertoire. Lawlars hit tool projection is a bit of a conundrum. He was added to the 40-man roster at the end of the season and should become part of the Rangers rotation at some point in 2023. The defense will hopefully hold as Carter ages, and Jake Marisnick presents a precedent in this regard. He spent most of the rest of the year rehabbing in Arizona, often attending Diamondbacks games in his sling. The junior righty went 5.2 innings, struck out four, and allowed two hits. OF JonJon Vaughns The junior Vaughns struggled in his first two seasons for the Bruins but played himself to a starting job this fall. A bat-only prospect with a well-rounded offensive skill set, Steer may end up a 30-grade second base defender or just play 3B/1B/LF. Lawlar is a slick shortstop defender with big power and a somewhat shaky hit tool. Teams 71-80 An intense, cerebral presence on the mound, Liberatore made his big league debut in 2022, spending the back half of the season shuttling between the Cardinals rotation and Triple-A. A stiff, upright hitter, Diaz might have some issues with fastballs running in on his hands at the big league level, as he tended to be late on the ones he saw at Double- and Triple-A, driving them almost exclusively to the opposite field. A slower curveball and occasional mid-80s changeup give Jameson the weapons to work through a lineup multiple times even though theyre just fair. The Tigers scored 27 runs on the weekend. He was sitting 95-99 mph throughout entire outings, and punched out at least eight hitters in each of his final 11 starts, culminating in a 13 K postseason outing against Vanderbilt when his stock reached its pinnacle. Theres still mid-rotation potential here, its just not as in focus as it seemed to be a year ago. His injuries reduced the sample size, but Merrills contact metrics from the regular season are incredible. Previous ranking: No. There were reasons to be skeptical or apprehensive about declaring Chourio one of the games top prospects, especially at the onset of his breakout. Top 25 (Feb. 27) Louisiana State remains No. At times, it has typical sink and tail; at others, it has sink and careens toward Allens glove side like a slider. There was a stretch as an amateur when Frelick was viewed as a potential second baseman, an experiment that didnt really go anywhere. 35GeorgiaSEC11GA1-6298670 Hes coming off another terrific offensive year, slashing .257/.336/.420 as a 21-year-old at Akron with about a month of Columbus thrown in, and setting a career-high in homers (18) for the second straight season. 80ColumbiaIvy1NY2N/ANRNR83 The tailing shape on his heater is suboptimal but at times helps him miss a bat. Still, this is a 6-foot-7, 240-pound 20-year-old who might add weight commensurate with his frame as he matures, and the way that shakes out will have a significant impact on his defensive future. Williams injury history and the relative violence of his delivery kept him just outside the 50 FV tier on the Cleveland list, even though he had a strong pro debut and spent most of the year at Double-A Akron. The SEC leads all conferences with 13 teams (out of its 14 current members) in the Top 100. . Then, he went to the Cape Cod League and hit .298 with nine home runs in 34 games. There is still a front-end arm here, as well as a big, sturdy-looking frame that theoretically should be able to eat a ton of innings. 26Southern MissSun Belt1MS37333388 Barger then went to the Arizona Fall League, where his left-handed bat speed stood out among lots of other good hitting prospects. With some marque matchups this weekend, we should learn more about where these teams should stand. For one, he struck out in a third of his A-ball plate appearances, and the track record for hitters who K that much at such a low level is not very good. Here Berry projects as a DH. At times Jung looked totally lost late in 2022 when he finally returned from the shoulder surgery. Previous ranking: No. The broad strokes of this report read a lot like that of Adam Dunn at the same age: an XXL frame with unusual top-end speed and athleticism for his size, and a chance to fill out in a way that causes him to tumble down the defensive spectrum, but with enough power to support such a fall and then some. You can do some thought exercises around where hed go were Noelvi a 21-year-old draft prospect, or play would you rather with the names of other prospects to try to triangulate where he should fall on the FV scale, and all of that went into placing him here. The Volunteers jumped from No. The Tigers did their homework and signed him for an over-slot bonus in the fifth round, where many teams had written him off as unsignable. The A-Sun, CAA, MVC, MWC, WAC and WCC landed two teams apiece in the Top 100. 23 Last Week: 3-0-1 Overall: 5-1-1, 0-0 in SEC (0-0 vs. Top 25) Weekend Record: 2-0 Results Feb. 21: vs. North Alabama (Huntsville, Ala.): W 13-1 Feb. 24-26: Southern California: W 5-3, W 12-6, T 12-12 Upcoming March 1: Florida A&M March 3-5: Lipscomb Bad weather in Los Angeles forced Auburns series against USC to be relocated to The Plains and the Tigers picked up a solid series win. Auburns biggest concern coming out of the weekend is the status of righthander Joseph Gonzalez, who was held out due to shoulder tightness. He might end up becoming the player the industry hoped Francisco Meja would become. Only 37 of the 112 ranked players here are pitchers. Harrisons body has thickened pretty quickly, but he throws hard and has diverse fastball utility and great secondary stuff. Its possible he was gassed at that point, but his late-2021 and early-2022 backfield defensive look was similar, and its rare for shortstops to be this size. In 2022, he dominated the upper levels (.260/.374/.511) and made his big league debut at age 20 with a five-game cup of coffee. A patient, discerning hitter, Carters breaking ball recognition and feel for the strike zone is excellent. On the field, the Vols were undeterred and completed a 5-0 week. Late in 2022, the Cardinals started giving Walker reps in the outfield, mostly in right, and he looked fine out there. An approach or swing change could lead to a breakout and Acuas approach might also cause him to perform beneath this ranking, so consider him a volatile prospect even though hes on a 40-man. His long speed gives him a shot to stay in center field, but his routes to balls can be a bit of an adventure. In 2021, Olson spent time at both High- and Double-A, and ended the season with a combined strikeout rate of 26%, while walking 11.6%. Even if sliders are a chronic issue for Davis, hell likely still get to enough power to produce better than the average everyday catcher. LHP Jac Caglianone No, this isnt a mistake, Caglianone does both at a very high level. Manzardo put up video game numbers at Washington State, slashing .336/.404/.533 during his time with the Cougars and walking nearly as much as he struck out during his draft year. 56WashingtonPac-127WA2-15415469 40) is 30 spots, and theres a substantial difference in talent between them. He blew triple-digits at the top of the zone past batters at every stop, with his fastball averaging 99 mph at Triple-A. If he does that while getting to most of his power, hell be one of the better players in baseball its just that De La Cruz has struck out a concerning 30% of the time. Considering how strong he is and how much contact he makes, there is a shocking dearth of measurable, high-quality contact happening here. Hes poised to start his age-22 season at Triple-A and likely make his big league debut at some point in 2023, perhaps usurping Gleyber Torres as the everyday second baseman if it becomes clear that Volpe is a superior offensive option. His slider tunnels better with the four-seamer, but its whiff and chase rates have been more pedestrian. Abel has long thrown hard for his age, his velocity steadily climbing into its current 95-97 mph band up from the 90-94 range when he was first known to FanGraphs as a prospect. The current favorite to be selected first overall in the 2023 draft, Crews is coming off of hitting .362/.453/.663 with 18 home runs as a first-year player last season. "RPI Delta" is the change in a team's RPI since SUN, JUN 26th. Johnson was a well-regarded prospect basically as soon as he reached high school, and there were scouts who were so excited when they first watched him hit that they considered him a future top 5-10 pick when he was only a freshman. If most hitters leg kicks and move forward are outies, Mayos is an inny his front foot often lands closer to his rear foot than where it began. Nelson spent most of his college career in the bullpen showing huge stuff, fringe command, and repertoire depth that led to optimism surrounding his development as a starter. In contrast, his 2022 was a tough-luck grind, as Yorke hit just .232 at Greeneville and dealt with myriad injuries, including turf toe, back stiffness, and wrist soreness that reared its ugly, uh, wrist during the regular season and again when he went to Arizona to pick up reps in the Fall League. Diaz has plus, all-fields power and covers the outer third of the plate especially well. The bumps and bruises suffered from catching can sometimes level players for whole seasons, and Davis had a lot of them in 2022. He was hurt in 2022. Despite some struggles for the Cowboys offense, Mendham stood out, slashing .333/.375/.600 with a homer and a double. A series against Gonzaga is next up this weekend. His feel for contact and for the zone already gave him a high floor. He had a breakout 2021 at Double-A, his first full season in pro ball, posting a .98 WHIP across 15 starts while working about five innings per start until August, when he blew out and needed Tommy John. So compact and short to the baseball is Rodriguez that he can wait an extra beat to diagnose pitch types, which enables him to make in-flight adjustments to breaking balls, spoil the well-located ones, and crush the hangers. Previous ranking: No. He fell deep enough in the drafts top 10 that the Twins, who were otherwise on Cam Collier, felt compelled to pop him even though they werent a fit in this regard. He started the season at High-A, advancing to Double-A in late May, where his strikeout rate increased slightly, but not at all to a concerning degree. RHP Alonzo Tredwell Tredwell was dominant out of the bullpen as a freshman and will now transition into the weekend rotation. He sometimes sets up to block breaking balls too quickly, tipping off baserunners and peeking hitters to whats coming. 34UC Santa BarbaraBig West1CA39433756 Tennessee; 35. After eschewing the draft over the summer, hes back in Gainesville to prove he can be a more complete hitter. The SEC also occupies each of the top four spots in the rankings for the second time in a row, although the order of that top four has shuffled a bit since our 2019 update. On paper, Amador is still generating flat, groundball and line drive contact a lot of the time, but we think his feel for the barrel and for the zone together will enable him to hit for average power at maturity, maybe more as a left-handed hitter. Its comforting that there are contemporary examples of hitters making a huge impact who share Chourios potential blemish, ones who make that impact despite all the ponchados by getting to big power. This combined with the undercooked hit tool might lead to some big league growing pains and medium production at first, but over time Casas should become a middle-of-the-order force capable of hitting 35-plus annual homers. A small school draft-and-dev success, Stone is starting to have that mid-rotation look after growing into more velocity and a great changeup. Julien hit 17 dingers and slashed .278/.398/.556 as a freshman at Auburn, then was ruled draft-eligible as a 20-year-old sophomore not because of his age, but because he had attended a year of secondary school in Canada before heading to college, which made him three years removed from high school. Hes still risky as a prospect but has big upside. His swing is geared for pull-side damage. He worked out in Panama during the offseason and the Guardians thought he was a full-go for spring training 2023, the start of his 40-man evaluation year. All of his swings components fire in a short period of time, which can be jarring to watch, but Mayo has been smoking liners and hitting huge pull-side homers with this swing since he was a high school underclassman. With Martn Maldonado and Korey Lee around, Diaz will be able to ease into the everyday waters and start some games at 1B/DH to get his bat into the lineup. Hes also worked to make himself more lithe and athletic since first arriving on the Dodgers backfields shortly after he signed, when Dodgers coaches were asking a fresh-faced Vargas to make mid-game swing-changes that incorporated more movement into his conservative cut. While he can ambush high pitches, especially up-and-in, and show you close to average peak pop, Turang had not slugged over .400 in any pro season until he saw Triple-A in 2022. Hes not only kept things in check physically but actually improved to the point of being an above-average defender. In that case, were talking about a rock solid everyday player in the Mark Canha mold, and in fact Vargas career has tracked in a similar fashion, especially as we stand on the precipice of a likely position change. Power on par with Salvy seems in play here, too. Hell be just one of a whole host of All-American candidates in the LSU lineup. The Diamondbacks selected Pfaadt with their final pick in 2020s abbreviated draft. RHP Nathan Dettmer Dettmer was as-advertized this weekend, striking out eight over 4.2 runless innings. The junior right-hander figures to get some starts for this talented club, especially with Teddy McGraws uncertainty. He isnt a great hands-and-feet athlete, and his arm strength doesnt match that of a typical third baseman. In fact, this marks the first time the Longhorns have ever been ranked No. Hes tracking like a mid-rotation starter. The Big 12 has three teams and the Pac-12 two, while the American, Big Ten and Sun Belt each have one representative. The A-Sun, CAA, MVC, MWC, WAC and WCC landed two teams apiece in the Top 100. Perhaps of real concern was Nelsons velocity, which has fluctuated a few times during his career and was down for most of 2022. After his velocity varied throughout his senior year at times 92-94 mph, at others parked comfortably in the 95-96 mph range and touching above Jobe mostly sat 93-95 in 2022. He sure looked like it last weekend, slashing .400/.471/.933 with a pair of bombs. Ortiz is a plus defender anywhere on the infield dirt. If he develops into a plus shortstop defender with a well-rounded offensive game, hell easily be an impact big leaguer, and probably soon. There are still visual and underlying statistical indications that Naylor is going to end up with a below-average hit tool (his swing is so uphill that hell almost certainly be vulnerable to whiffs in the strike zone), but he has very impressive bat speed and power (especially for a catcher) that is weaponized by his selective approach, which targets the up-and-in quadrant of the zone. His strikeout rate improved upon promotion to Triple-A, albeit in a smaller sample. This years 60 FV tier has some players who still show some hit tool red flags (Chourio, De La Cruz, Jones) that kept them from ever really being considered for the tier above. 1B Jac Caglianone Caglianone had a productive freshman year and is coming out of the gate strong. The identifiable visual tweak to the swing, the shift in batted ball profile, and Batys dramatic uptick in home runs are all indications that hes dialed in the details that have kept him vacillating between several FV tiers for the last couple of years. Blocked by Nolan Arenado, Walker is taking his 70-grade power and arm to right field, where he should hit 35 annual bombs amid lots of strikeouts. The outfield, mostly in right, and theres a substantial difference in talent between them it. Occasional mid-80s changeup give Jameson the weapons to work in Reno they complement each other.! And his lateral agility is better than his long speed on the bases with some marque matchups weekend! 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